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Fed decision in September?

Fed decision in September?

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Price: $0.855
Liquidity: $2.3m
Volume: $78.1m
Markets: 4
End Date: 17/09/2025
Last Update: 18:45:39

Market Information

Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2025 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 16 - 17, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Total Volume: $78.1m
Liquidity: $2.3m
Markets: 4
End Date: 17/09/2025

Markets

4 active markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
0.855 / 0.145
Likely
Vol: $12.2m Liq: $224k
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
0.105 / 0.895
Unlikely
Vol: $17.3m Liq: $432.8k
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
0.033 / 0.967
No
Vol: $20.5m Liq: $508k
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
0.003 / 0.998
No
Vol: $28.1m Liq: $1.1m